Temporary Cooldown, but Above Average temps return soon enough, next week
As of this posting, a record 8 day stretch of 80+ degree high temps to begin September has been set. After a cold front crosses the region, temps will remain a bit above the average high of 74 on...
View ArticleMost of the time, Warm for the Remainder of August; & the Latest on El Nino
Longer range global model averages favor above normal temperatures much of the time for the next 2 weeks. There may be occasional brief cooler periods, as was the case on the 12th and 13th, but warmer...
View ArticleBelow Average Temps hang in for awhile, but this doesn’t signal an Early End...
With the advertised cooler than average pattern setting in for this week, I’ve already seen a few Facebook comments complaining we’ve had no summer. Yes, June was disappointing with above average...
View ArticleThe Heat Won’t be Hanging Around for TOO Long
As hot as we are, and as hot as we’ll be through midweek, some relief (for those who don’t like it) will be coming in stages beginning later this week. We haven’t hit 90 officially since July 16, 2013....
View ArticleMostly Midsummer Warmth rather than a heat wave
As I post this on a Tuesday night, we’re feeling the effects of a seasonably cool and dry ridge of high pressure which will gradually give way to seasonable warmth during the upcoming weekend....
View ArticleSome Summer Mugginess drops back midweek and likely returns this Weekend...
A cold front preceded by some showers and tstorms Tuesday night will usher in a more comfortable airmass Wednesday. (Some of those tstorms may contain downpours and gusty winds). A more comfortable...
View ArticleNo midsummer heat in sight, but temperatures like last weekend’s aren’t in...
I’ve seen some long range outlooks issued in the private sector which seem to give the impression the rest of this summer will tend to be a write off. I think some of what I’m seeing is overstated and...
View ArticleA More Active Pattern Continues, and More on El Nino
I suspect all but Rip Van Winkle have noticed we’ve been in a more active pattern with more frequent rounds of convection crossing parts of the region. There is more to come into at least this weekend,...
View ArticleThe Warmth will be Winning into mid-June
After Saturday morning (May 23) frost vanished, the warmth began to arrive on Sunday. It will hang around much of the time well into June, with only occasional interruptions. Looking at the overall...
View ArticleBrief Cooldown, Another Warmup, Another Cooldown…and so on
As of this posting–Tuesday night, May 12–we are in the midst of a fairly sharp cooldown from the sultry conditions we had for several consecutive days, including the 88 degree record highs last Friday...
View ArticleNot Summery just yet, but some Genuine Improvement is unfolding.
Bottom line, if you don’t want to wade through all the esoteric stuff below is this: After a chilly Monday April 27, temperatures will be more seasonable and occasionally warmer than average this week...
View Article“Disappointing” Pattern is One Way to Put It….
After a 78 degree Monday and a 71 degree Thursday this week, the pattern which will be evolving by April 21 will be disappointing to most folks, and I say that with no empirical data to support the use...
View ArticleUps and Downs over the Next 2 Weeks…but the Downs are Shallower
Spring is still unlikely to to produce a genuinely long string of sunny & warm days around here–it seldom does this early in the season. However, conditions will favor seasonable to occasionally...
View ArticleTemperatures Will be Chillier than Average during Most–but Not All–of the...
The long-advertised chillier pattern will be in place from Tuesday the 17th through that late part of the month. But there are going to be some ups and downs within the overall mean pattern, rather...
View ArticleThere’s No Turning Back to Frigid, but our Moderation will have Ups and Downs
As I mentioned last Friday the 6th, we are done with subzero readings, following a new record low and the 12th subzero low of the winter (the 3rd most subzero total days of any winter going back to...
View ArticleSome Cold Weather to Come, but “Less Cold”…Come Mid-March, the Pattern Gets...
The extreme pattern which dominated February isn’t going to be so extreme through March 12th or so. However, temperatures will still be below average for this time of the year most days (as of this...
View ArticleFebruary is a Done Deal–Historically FRIGID. March will Gradually Become...
“Less harsh” does not equate to “mild,” for starters. However, after what could still turn out to be the coldest month in Buffalo record-keeping history (not just coldest February), a trend toward...
View ArticleWhy It’s so Gosh-Darned Cold, and Why It Will Stay That Way for Some Time to...
After a nearly forgotten very mild and much less snowy than average December, the weather worm turned around January 5th. That’s when we began our downward spiral for most of last month and into this...
View ArticleAirport Snow Deficit is Gone…but Not for Long
Seasonal snowfall has moved back a little above average over the last few days. After the November lake effect storm(s), the airport (never hit full strength by those events) had gone to 29+ inches...
View ArticleCold Finish to 2014 and Cold Start to 2015…Maybe some Lake Snow.
After some almost unseasonably mild weather before and during the Christmas holiday, the pattern will be shifting to a more wintry one for the last few days of December and the first few days of...
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